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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.06+2.74vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.78+1.99vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.66+1.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.99-0.23vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.10+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.50-1.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.16-3.47vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.25-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Brown University1.0616.6%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University0.7815.3%1st Place
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4.44Tufts University0.6612.6%1st Place
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3.77Tufts University0.9917.0%1st Place
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5.5Boston University0.106.7%1st Place
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4.86University of Rhode Island0.509.0%1st Place
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3.53Tufts University1.1618.5%1st Place
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6.17University of New Hampshire-0.254.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spencer Dellenbaugh | 16.6% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
Niall Sheridan | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
Meredith Broadus | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 9.2% |
Philip Lengyel | 17.0% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
Renato Korzinek | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 24.3% |
Iain Jaeger | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 12.4% |
Adam Larzelere | 18.5% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
Emily Zaleski | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.