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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+2.90vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.10vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+5.13vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+2.13vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11+3.39vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.23vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.64-0.26vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.78+1.46vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.66+3.87vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.45+0.66vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii3.68-4.51vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.49-4.93vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.25-1.77vs Predicted
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14Clemson University1.66-1.13vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.84-5.81vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame2.27-4.72vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.39-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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5.1Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.13Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.39Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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5.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.46Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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12.87Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.66Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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7.07Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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12.87Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Minnesota2.840.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Notre Dame2.270.0%1st Place
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13.59Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 20.3% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 13.6% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 20.9% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 20.9% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Wheeler J | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 39.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.