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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+6.81vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.30+6.91vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.14+3.32vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.54+4.79vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.75+2.20vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.58+2.13vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.74+0.22vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.59-0.09vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.05+1.24vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.77-1.54vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.90-4.24vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.34+2.38vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.69-4.34vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.85-3.32vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-8.37vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.27-3.05vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.23-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.667.2%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University1.305.3%1st Place
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6.32Boston College2.1410.5%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University1.545.7%1st Place
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7.2Yale University1.757.4%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College1.586.2%1st Place
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7.22Boston College1.748.2%1st Place
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7.91University of Rhode Island1.597.1%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University1.054.5%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University1.774.8%1st Place
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6.76Yale University1.909.6%1st Place
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14.38Maine Maritime Academy-0.340.9%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University1.695.4%1st Place
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10.68University of Vermont0.853.5%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.3%1st Place
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12.95Boston University0.271.9%1st Place
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11.95Northeastern University0.232.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
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Matthew Kickhafer | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Patrick Mulcahy | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
Robert Hunter | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Bryan Trammell | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
Nicholas Davies | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Perham Black | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
Matt Budington | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
Ben Rosenberg | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
Matt Hersey | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
Jonas Nelle | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
Nathan Sih | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Olivia Mitchell | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 17.7% | 42.9% |
John Walton | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
Nicholas Salvesen | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 5.8% |
Maks Groom | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Nicholas Hardy | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 22.4% |
Ben Palmer | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.