← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University0.66+3.43vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University0.78+2.03vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.99+0.87vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire-0.25+2.18vs Predicted
-
5Boston University0.10+0.47vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island0.50-1.23vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.06-3.25vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.16-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.43Tufts University0.6612.2%1st Place
-
4.03Tufts University0.7815.4%1st Place
-
3.87Tufts University0.9915.3%1st Place
-
6.18University of New Hampshire-0.253.9%1st Place
-
5.47Boston University0.106.3%1st Place
-
4.77University of Rhode Island0.509.6%1st Place
-
3.75Brown University1.0617.5%1st Place
-
3.51Tufts University1.1619.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Meredith Broadus | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 8.5% |
Niall Sheridan | 15.4% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 5.1% |
Philip Lengyel | 15.3% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
Emily Zaleski | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 18.8% | 38.8% |
Renato Korzinek | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 24.4% |
Iain Jaeger | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 12.7% |
Spencer Dellenbaugh | 17.5% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
Adam Larzelere | 19.8% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.