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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+6.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.75+5.22vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.85+7.65vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.14+2.43vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+3.52vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.77+2.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.54+1.80vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.05+2.49vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.36vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.59-2.36vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.69-2.25vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.90-5.29vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.74-5.68vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.58-5.99vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.27-2.10vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.23-3.82vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.34-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.666.7%1st Place
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7.22Yale University1.758.8%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont0.853.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston College2.148.8%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University1.306.7%1st Place
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8.41Harvard University1.775.1%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University1.546.3%1st Place
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10.49Northeastern University1.053.6%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.7%1st Place
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7.64University of Rhode Island1.597.4%1st Place
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8.75Roger Williams University1.694.3%1st Place
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6.71Yale University1.909.5%1st Place
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7.32Boston College1.747.6%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College1.587.4%1st Place
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12.9Boston University0.271.4%1st Place
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12.18Northeastern University0.232.6%1st Place
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14.34Maine Maritime Academy-0.340.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matthew Kickhafer | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Nicholas Davies | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Nicholas Salvesen | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 6.8% |
Robert Hunter | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Patrick Mulcahy | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
Jonas Nelle | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
Bryan Trammell | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
Matt Hersey | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
Maks Groom | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Ben Rosenberg | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
John Walton | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
Nathan Sih | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Matt Budington | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Perham Black | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
Nicholas Hardy | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 19.3% | 20.8% |
Ben Palmer | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 14.6% |
Olivia Mitchell | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.