Race 4A

hood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Patrick Mulcahy 4.9% 4.9% 5.5% 6.2% 6.9% 6.0% 7.0% 6.5% 6.5% 6.2% 6.2% 6.7% 6.9% 7.2% 6.5% 4.3% 1.6%
Matthew Kickhafer 7.6% 8.1% 6.8% 6.8% 7.0% 7.6% 7.0% 6.7% 6.5% 6.0% 6.0% 5.4% 5.4% 5.3% 4.0% 2.9% 0.8%
Perham Black 5.9% 5.7% 7.1% 7.0% 6.5% 6.5% 6.2% 7.0% 7.7% 7.0% 5.8% 6.9% 6.2% 6.3% 5.1% 2.1% 1.1%
John Walton 6.1% 6.2% 5.9% 6.9% 6.9% 6.2% 5.7% 6.2% 5.7% 6.5% 5.9% 7.5% 7.3% 5.1% 6.0% 4.8% 1.2%
Matt Budington 8.2% 6.6% 8.6% 7.8% 6.7% 7.1% 8.3% 7.2% 7.5% 7.1% 6.2% 5.5% 5.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Robert Hunter 11.3% 10.5% 8.7% 9.2% 8.5% 8.0% 6.6% 7.9% 7.0% 5.3% 5.0% 4.2% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3%
Nathan Sih 8.7% 8.6% 9.0% 8.8% 7.2% 7.8% 7.7% 7.0% 6.3% 6.3% 6.2% 5.5% 4.2% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Ben Rosenberg 5.9% 7.3% 6.5% 6.3% 7.5% 7.5% 6.3% 5.9% 6.8% 7.3% 7.1% 6.4% 6.2% 5.1% 4.3% 2.2% 1.1%
Jonas Nelle 5.5% 5.9% 6.6% 5.9% 6.0% 6.8% 5.9% 6.5% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 6.6% 6.6% 7.0% 5.1% 3.6% 1.3%
Nicholas Salvesen 4.2% 3.5% 4.2% 3.5% 4.4% 3.7% 4.5% 4.9% 5.1% 5.2% 6.4% 6.8% 7.8% 8.6% 11.6% 9.3% 6.3%
Nicholas Davies 7.9% 8.2% 7.2% 8.3% 8.0% 7.3% 7.1% 7.4% 6.4% 6.6% 5.8% 5.9% 5.3% 3.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
Matt Hersey 3.9% 3.2% 3.0% 4.5% 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 5.3% 5.8% 5.1% 7.4% 6.2% 8.6% 8.2% 9.2% 10.1% 4.6%
Bryan Trammell 4.7% 7.0% 5.9% 4.9% 6.2% 6.2% 7.1% 5.2% 5.8% 6.8% 7.6% 8.0% 6.8% 6.1% 5.8% 4.5% 1.7%
Maks Groom 9.4% 9.2% 8.8% 8.2% 7.8% 7.4% 7.3% 7.3% 6.2% 6.1% 6.0% 5.2% 4.8% 2.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Ben Palmer 2.5% 2.2% 3.0% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 3.4% 4.0% 4.6% 4.7% 4.8% 5.2% 7.1% 9.0% 11.5% 14.8% 14.3%
Olivia Mitchell 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 3.5% 3.3% 6.9% 9.0% 16.2% 43.4%
Nicholas Hardy 2.2% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 4.3% 4.0% 4.7% 5.2% 9.7% 10.4% 19.5% 21.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.