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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.30+7.75vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.58+5.99vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.77+5.36vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.54+4.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.14+1.07vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.85+3.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.74-0.77vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.59-1.46vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.05-0.01vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.90-4.05vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.69-3.50vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.72+1.96vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.75-6.94vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-7.16vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.34-1.87vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.23-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75Tufts University1.305.5%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College1.586.9%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University1.775.9%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University1.545.4%1st Place
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6.07Boston College2.1410.4%1st Place
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6.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.9310.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Vermont0.852.7%1st Place
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7.23Boston College1.747.6%1st Place
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7.54University of Rhode Island1.597.2%1st Place
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9.99Northeastern University1.054.2%1st Place
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6.95Yale University1.907.6%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University1.697.2%1st Place
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14.96Boston University-0.720.7%1st Place
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7.06Yale University1.758.6%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.666.7%1st Place
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14.13Maine Maritime Academy-0.341.1%1st Place
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11.83Northeastern University0.232.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
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Patrick Mulcahy | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
Perham Black | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
Jonas Nelle | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
Bryan Trammell | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
Robert Hunter | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Maks Groom | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Nicholas Salvesen | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
Matt Budington | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Ben Rosenberg | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Matt Hersey | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
Nathan Sih | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
John Walton | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
Keilah Stypulkoski | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 18.8% | 48.9% |
Nicholas Davies | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Matthew Kickhafer | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
Olivia Mitchell | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 25.4% | 31.2% |
Ben Palmer | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.