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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.75+6.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.14+4.10vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.59+4.60vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.58+3.83vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+3.53vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.54+2.56vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.74+0.41vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.05+2.18vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.69-0.40vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.77-1.64vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.23+0.84vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-4.15vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.90-6.25vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-7.38vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.34-0.91vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.85-5.37vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.72-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Yale University1.758.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston College2.1412.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Rhode Island1.597.8%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College1.586.6%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University1.305.3%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University1.545.3%1st Place
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7.41Boston College1.747.1%1st Place
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10.18Northeastern University1.053.6%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University1.695.8%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University1.776.2%1st Place
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11.84Northeastern University0.231.8%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.667.2%1st Place
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6.75Yale University1.908.7%1st Place
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6.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.8%1st Place
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14.09Maine Maritime Academy-0.340.7%1st Place
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10.63University of Vermont0.853.4%1st Place
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14.96Boston University-0.720.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Davies | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Perham Black | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Matt Budington | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| John Walton | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Jonas Nelle | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 8.6% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 25.3% | 30.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 4.3% |
| Keilah Stypulkoski | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 19.2% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.