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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.14+5.19vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.64vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+3.55vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.69+4.37vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+3.63vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.74+1.33vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.85+3.54vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.77+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.59-1.24vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.75-2.95vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-3.12vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.34+2.16vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.23-1.33vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.54-5.40vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.72-0.01vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.05-5.72vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.58-8.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Boston College2.1410.1%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.8%1st Place
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6.55Yale University1.909.9%1st Place
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8.37Roger Williams University1.695.5%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University1.305.4%1st Place
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7.33Boston College1.747.8%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont0.853.1%1st Place
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8.23Harvard University1.776.2%1st Place
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7.76University of Rhode Island1.597.3%1st Place
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7.05Yale University1.759.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.666.2%1st Place
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14.16Maine Maritime Academy-0.340.8%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University0.232.6%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University1.545.8%1st Place
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14.99Boston University-0.721.2%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University1.053.5%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College1.585.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
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Robert Hunter | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Maks Groom | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Nathan Sih | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
John Walton | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Patrick Mulcahy | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
Matt Budington | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Nicholas Salvesen | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
Jonas Nelle | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Ben Rosenberg | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Nicholas Davies | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Matthew Kickhafer | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Olivia Mitchell | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 24.5% | 31.7% |
Ben Palmer | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 7.5% |
Bryan Trammell | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
Keilah Stypulkoski | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 20.0% | 48.7% |
Matt Hersey | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
Perham Black | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.