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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+7.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.60vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.49+8.24vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+3.21vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.19+2.88vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.68+4.17vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+2.48vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18+4.14vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.65+1.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.45vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-1.10vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.55-5.16vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.36-1.66vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.12-6.07vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.64-4.70vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.05-7.38vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-7.78vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.49-7.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.24Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.21Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.88Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.14Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.26College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.84Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.93Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.3Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.82University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Adam Pokras | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 18.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| Michael Grove | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% |
| Graham Landy | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 12.4% |
| Raul Rios | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.