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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+9.48vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+6.43vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+4.40vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+6.83vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+5.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.23vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+5.27vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-1.56vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.68+1.13vs Predicted
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10Stanford University4.19-1.78vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-1.33vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-3.03vs Predicted
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13Tufts University4.08-4.75vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-4.64vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.94vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.49-4.93vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.43vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.36-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.48College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.4Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.83University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.22Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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12.27Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.44Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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8.22Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.97Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.36Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.07Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% |
| Raul Rios | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% |
| Michael Grove | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 17.2% |
| Graham Landy | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Adam Pokras | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| William Haeger | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.