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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.14+4.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.90+4.81vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.59+4.66vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.75+3.13vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.69+3.46vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.30+2.62vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.54+1.68vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.05+2.05vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.77-0.56vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.74-2.66vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.58-2.78vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.85-1.29vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-6.41vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-6.26vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.23-3.43vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.34-1.97vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.72-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Boston College2.1411.8%1st Place
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6.81Yale University1.909.2%1st Place
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7.66University of Rhode Island1.597.8%1st Place
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7.13Yale University1.758.2%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University1.695.1%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University1.305.9%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University1.545.2%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University1.054.0%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University1.776.2%1st Place
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7.34Boston College1.748.4%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College1.586.2%1st Place
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10.71University of Vermont0.852.8%1st Place
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6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.5%1st Place
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7.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.666.9%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University0.232.1%1st Place
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14.03Maine Maritime Academy-0.340.8%1st Place
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14.98Boston University-0.720.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Davies | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| John Walton | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Jonas Nelle | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Matt Budington | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Perham Black | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 3.4% |
| Maks Groom | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 25.2% | 29.8% |
| Keilah Stypulkoski | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 18.8% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.