← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston4.61+3.44vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College3.83+5.23vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College3.68+4.81vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+3.49vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+3.02vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.50+2.72vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.79+0.44vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.50+0.41vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island3.92-1.90vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.50-1.63vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.55+1.14vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida2.80-0.88vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.67-5.00vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University3.54-5.51vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan2.35-2.33vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University1.60-1.24vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.93-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.44College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
-
7.23Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
-
7.81Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
-
7.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
-
8.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
-
8.72Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.44Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
-
8.41Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.1University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.37U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
-
12.14Georgetown University2.550.0%1st Place
-
11.12University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
-
8.0Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.49Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
-
12.67University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
-
14.76Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
-
10.8University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 19.9% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Megan Magill | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Patten | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Emily Gowell | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 13.6% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 6.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Christina Baker | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 19.7% | 17.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 47.8% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.