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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.04+0.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+0.36vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.50-0.65vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.41-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1340.6%1st Place
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2.79University of Pennsylvania1.0421.9%1st Place
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3.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6413.5%1st Place
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3.35SUNY Maritime College0.5012.0%1st Place
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3.41Cornell University0.4111.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 40.6% | 27.9% | 17.8% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Ian Fox | 21.9% | 22.7% | 23.2% | 18.9% | 13.5% |
| Calvin Marsh | 13.5% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 23.8% | 27.7% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 12.0% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 24.6% | 25.8% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 11.9% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 22.9% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.