← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.79+3.22vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.47vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College3.71+1.52vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.67+0.51vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.48-0.05vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.65+0.87vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.50-2.05vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.04+0.06vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.91vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.90-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.22Brown University3.790.2%1st Place
-
5.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
4.52Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
4.51Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
4.95Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.87Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
-
4.95Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.06University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
-
5.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
6.36Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 16.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 6.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 13.7% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 19.5% | 20.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 44.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.