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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.30+7.74vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.74+5.38vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.69+5.52vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.54+4.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+2.72vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.59+1.80vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.75+0.19vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.77+0.46vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.58-1.10vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.90-3.22vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.14-5.00vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.05-1.81vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.85-2.52vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-7.58vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.72-0.03vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.23-4.29vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.34-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Tufts University1.304.7%1st Place
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7.38Boston College1.747.6%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University1.696.2%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University1.545.4%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.667.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Rhode Island1.596.8%1st Place
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7.19Yale University1.758.3%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University1.776.0%1st Place
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7.9Bowdoin College1.587.8%1st Place
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6.78Yale University1.908.8%1st Place
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6.0Boston College2.149.7%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University1.053.9%1st Place
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10.48University of Vermont0.853.8%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.9310.1%1st Place
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14.97Boston University-0.720.5%1st Place
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11.71Northeastern University0.232.5%1st Place
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14.09Maine Maritime Academy-0.341.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Matt Budington | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| John Walton | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Davies | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Perham Black | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Maks Groom | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Keilah Stypulkoski | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 19.0% | 49.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 8.1% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 25.8% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.