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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+7.66vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+5.41vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+5.76vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.36+7.40vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.65+5.20vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55+0.45vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+2.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.30vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82+0.54vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18+2.54vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.69vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49-0.61vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.64-2.79vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii3.68-4.18vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.86vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.12-7.71vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.49-5.86vs Predicted
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18Stanford University4.19-10.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.41Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.76Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.4University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.2College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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6.45Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.71Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.54Old Dominion University3.820.0%1st Place
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12.54Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.39University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.21Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.29Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.14Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.74Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Nevin Snow | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 13.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Graham Landy | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 18.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% |
| Adam Pokras | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Michael Grove | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% |
| Raul Rios | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.