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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+7.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+6.60vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19+5.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+2.43vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.01vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+3.52vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+3.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.18vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.68+0.45vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.65-0.56vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.36-4.44vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-3.49vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.64-3.97vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.49-4.08vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.12-7.64vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-5.30vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.18-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.16Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.52Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.94University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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10.44College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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7.56Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.51Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.03Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.92Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.36Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.7University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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12.08Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| William Haeger | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Graham Landy | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Michael Grove | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Adam Pokras | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% |
| Nevin Snow | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% |
| Raul Rios | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 14.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.