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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.59+6.84vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.14+4.21vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.30+5.64vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.58+4.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+2.65vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.74+1.27vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.75-0.06vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.69+0.53vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.85+1.49vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.90-3.23vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-4.37vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.23-0.02vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.77-4.89vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.54-5.31vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.05-4.90vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.34-1.93vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.72-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84University of Rhode Island1.597.2%1st Place
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6.21Boston College2.1410.8%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University1.306.0%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College1.585.9%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.667.8%1st Place
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7.27Boston College1.748.3%1st Place
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6.94Yale University1.758.3%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University1.695.4%1st Place
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10.49University of Vermont0.853.6%1st Place
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6.77Yale University1.908.1%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.8%1st Place
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11.98Northeastern University0.231.9%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University1.775.9%1st Place
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8.69Tufts University1.546.0%1st Place
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10.1Northeastern University1.053.8%1st Place
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14.07Maine Maritime Academy-0.341.3%1st Place
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15.08Boston University-0.720.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ben Rosenberg | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Robert Hunter | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Patrick Mulcahy | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
Perham Black | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Matthew Kickhafer | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Matt Budington | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Nicholas Davies | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
John Walton | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Nicholas Salvesen | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
Nathan Sih | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Maks Groom | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Ben Palmer | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 8.2% |
Jonas Nelle | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
Bryan Trammell | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
Matt Hersey | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
Olivia Mitchell | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 27.6% | 29.3% |
Keilah Stypulkoski | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 18.1% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.