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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.56+6.07vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.18+2.69vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.54+7.78vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.61+2.86vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.25+3.66vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.50+1.21vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.01+2.29vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.55-0.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.11-0.07vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.53-2.07vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-3.83vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.08-3.31vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.59-1.60vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.77-4.00vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-7.38vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.56-1.81vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University-0.83-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Boston College1.567.4%1st Place
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4.69Yale University2.1817.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont0.543.5%1st Place
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6.86Boston College1.618.6%1st Place
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8.66Yale University1.255.4%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University1.507.5%1st Place
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9.29Boston University1.014.5%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University1.556.5%1st Place
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8.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.114.5%1st Place
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7.93Roger Williams University1.536.8%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.397.4%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College1.085.0%1st Place
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11.4Tufts University0.592.9%1st Place
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10.0Northeastern University0.774.6%1st Place
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7.62University of Rhode Island1.426.5%1st Place
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14.19Maine Maritime Academy-0.561.1%1st Place
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14.77Northeastern University-0.830.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
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Nick Budington | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Mateo Farina | 17.0% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Luke Quine | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
Graham Ness | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Christophe Chaumont | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
Connor Sheridan | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Nathan Selian | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
Eric Hansen | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
Lulu Russell | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
Riley Read | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Michael Pinto | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Jonathan Chance | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
Lera Anders | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 7.3% |
Peter Taboada | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
Henry Lee | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
kenneth Deloe | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 24.7% | 33.2% |
Julia Beck | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 20.5% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.