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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.50+6.40vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.53+5.65vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.25+5.70vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.01+5.18vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.59+6.56vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.55+1.81vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.54+3.72vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.61-1.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.11-0.03vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.77-0.04vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.56-3.96vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.08-3.33vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.18-8.01vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-6.90vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-7.23vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.56-1.86vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University-0.83-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4Tufts University1.506.3%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University1.536.8%1st Place
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8.7Yale University1.255.9%1st Place
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9.18Boston University1.015.0%1st Place
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11.56Tufts University0.592.1%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University1.556.7%1st Place
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10.72University of Vermont0.543.4%1st Place
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6.75Boston College1.617.8%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.115.9%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University0.774.2%1st Place
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7.04Boston College1.568.9%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College1.085.7%1st Place
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4.99Yale University2.1815.3%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.398.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island1.426.2%1st Place
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14.14Maine Maritime Academy-0.561.1%1st Place
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14.6Northeastern University-0.830.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sheridan | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Riley Read | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Lera Anders | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 7.8% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Luke Quine | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
| Graham Ness | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lulu Russell | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Nick Budington | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Farina | 15.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pinto | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Henry Lee | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| kenneth Deloe | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 22.8% | 33.7% |
| Julia Beck | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 18.9% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.