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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+7.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.49vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+5.52vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+7.96vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.68+4.86vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36+1.05vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.64+3.15vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12-0.03vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+1.82vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.36+1.58vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.83vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-2.26vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.19-5.36vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.65-4.20vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-6.19vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.49-5.15vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.96-3.94vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-10.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.49Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.96Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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7.05Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.15Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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7.97Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.82University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.74Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.64Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.8College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.85Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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13.06Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Graham Landy | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 15.7% |
| Adam Pokras | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% |
| Raul Rios | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% |
| Michael Grove | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 24.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.