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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+7.69vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+6.65vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19+5.15vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.36+7.34vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+3.19vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+3.72vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.68+2.07vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-0.51vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.63vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.55-4.42vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-2.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.97vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.49-3.35vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.64-4.67vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-3.61vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-5.85vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.65-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.15Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.19Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.72Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.21Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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6.58Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.91Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.65Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.33Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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12.39Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.15University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.07College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| William Haeger | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% |
| Raul Rios | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Graham Landy | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% |
| Michael Grove | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 18.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.