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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+2.03vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.61+5.28vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.11+6.39vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.50+3.80vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.56+2.41vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.25+3.20vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.08+2.20vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.18-2.74vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-1.34vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.53-1.94vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.54+0.20vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.01-2.39vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.77-2.68vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.42-5.92vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.59-3.20vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.03-3.30vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University-0.83-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Harvard University3.0528.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston College1.616.7%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.114.1%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University1.505.7%1st Place
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7.41Boston College1.565.7%1st Place
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9.2Yale University1.253.6%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College1.084.7%1st Place
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5.26Yale University2.1812.0%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.396.0%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University1.535.6%1st Place
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11.2University of Vermont0.542.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston University1.013.1%1st Place
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10.32Northeastern University0.773.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island1.425.5%1st Place
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11.8Tufts University0.592.0%1st Place
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12.7Maine Maritime Academy0.031.4%1st Place
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15.0Northeastern University-0.830.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 28.1% | 21.5% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lulu Russell | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Connor Sheridan | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Nick Budington | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Mateo Farina | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Pinto | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Riley Read | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Luke Quine | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 6.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Henry Lee | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lera Anders | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 10.2% |
| Quinn Collins | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 17.1% |
| Julia Beck | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 14.9% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.