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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+9.28vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+6.38vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+8.14vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+4.25vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+5.19vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36+1.19vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-0.57vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.01vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82+0.45vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-1.25vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.18+1.33vs Predicted
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12Stanford University4.19-3.80vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-3.51vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.29vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.65-4.84vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.59vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.16-4.62vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.36-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.28University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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8.38Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.14University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.19Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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7.19Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.45Old Dominion University3.820.0%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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12.33Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.2Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.49Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.16College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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12.38Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.26University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Raul Rios | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| William Haeger | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Graham Landy | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Michael Grove | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 18.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 17.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.