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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.56+6.45vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.50+5.72vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.25+6.18vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05-1.01vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.61+2.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39+1.72vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+1.23vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.53+0.05vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.11+0.41vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.18-4.65vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.77-0.50vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.01-2.49vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.83+2.00vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.03-1.30vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.59-3.31vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.54-4.94vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.08-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Boston College1.566.0%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University1.506.3%1st Place
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9.18Yale University1.254.2%1st Place
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2.99Harvard University3.0528.0%1st Place
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7.22Boston College1.616.7%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.396.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island1.423.9%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University1.536.7%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.113.6%1st Place
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5.35Yale University2.1812.3%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University0.773.1%1st Place
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9.51Boston University1.013.4%1st Place
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15.0Northeastern University-0.830.5%1st Place
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12.7Maine Maritime Academy0.031.5%1st Place
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11.69Tufts University0.592.0%1st Place
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11.06University of Vermont0.542.1%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College1.083.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 28.0% | 22.9% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Pinto | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Henry Lee | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Riley Read | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Lulu Russell | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Mateo Farina | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Julia Beck | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 54.7% |
| Quinn Collins | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 19.7% | 15.8% |
| Lera Anders | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 10.0% |
| Luke Quine | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.