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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.62vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+6.53vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+9.44vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+4.07vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+4.33vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+1.37vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+2.74vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.12vs Predicted
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10Stanford University4.19-1.87vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.55vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii3.68-1.55vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.36-1.76vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.36-7.08vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.23-3.12vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.65-5.72vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.49-5.97vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.78-8.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.44Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.33Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.37Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.74University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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8.13Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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6.92Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.88Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.28College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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11.03Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.37Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| William Haeger | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 16.5% |
| Raul Rios | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% |
| Michael Grove | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Adam Pokras | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Rice | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 14.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.