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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+7.37vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+9.46vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+4.18vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.19+3.58vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+3.21vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+4.65vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+3.65vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-1.85vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82+0.22vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.18vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.23+0.84vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.93+1.31vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.65-3.18vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.18-2.37vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-6.90vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.12-7.96vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii3.68-7.03vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-9.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.46University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.18Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.58Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.65University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.65Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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6.15Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.22Old Dominion University3.820.0%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.84Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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13.31Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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9.82College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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11.63Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.04Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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8.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Graham Landy | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Michael Grove | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.8% |
| Gabriel Salk | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 25.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Raul Rios | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| Adam Pokras | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.