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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.18+4.19vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+1.11vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.61+4.23vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.25+5.19vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.50+2.83vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.08+3.39vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.53+1.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-0.21vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.03+3.94vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.77+0.58vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.59+0.71vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.01-2.51vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.42-5.01vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.54-2.89vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.56-7.72vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.11-6.72vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University-0.83-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Yale University2.1813.0%1st Place
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3.11Harvard University3.0527.6%1st Place
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7.23Boston College1.617.1%1st Place
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9.19Yale University1.253.4%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University1.505.3%1st Place
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9.39Bowdoin College1.083.5%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University1.535.0%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.395.4%1st Place
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12.94Maine Maritime Academy0.031.0%1st Place
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10.58Northeastern University0.772.9%1st Place
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11.71Tufts University0.592.7%1st Place
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9.49Boston University1.014.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island1.424.9%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont0.542.2%1st Place
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7.28Boston College1.567.6%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.113.8%1st Place
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14.8Northeastern University-0.830.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
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Mateo Farina | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Lachlain McGranahan | 27.6% | 21.6% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Graham Ness | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Christophe Chaumont | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
Connor Sheridan | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Jonathan Chance | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
Riley Read | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Michael Pinto | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Quinn Collins | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 20.1% |
Peter Taboada | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 3.2% |
Lera Anders | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 10.1% |
Nathan Selian | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
Henry Lee | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
Luke Quine | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 6.1% |
Nick Budington | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Lulu Russell | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
Julia Beck | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 15.2% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.