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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.37vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+8.82vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+7.13vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.54vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36+1.85vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+3.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.94vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12-0.26vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18+2.80vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.93+3.07vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.05-2.74vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.49-1.12vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.19-5.58vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.36-3.34vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.90vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii3.68-6.21vs Predicted
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17Tufts University4.08-8.88vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.23-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.82University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.13College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.85Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.74Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.8Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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13.07Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.88Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.42Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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11.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.45Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% |
| Jake Reynolds | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Michael Grove | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Raul Rios | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 21.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% |
| Adam Pokras | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| William Haeger | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.