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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.59+10.78vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+1.05vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.50+4.76vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.11+5.31vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39+2.81vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.61+1.27vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.53+1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.42+0.02vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.18-3.84vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.25-0.88vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.56-3.60vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.77-1.40vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.83+1.92vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.08-4.87vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.01-5.62vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.54-4.76vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.03-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.78Tufts University0.591.9%1st Place
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3.05Harvard University3.0528.6%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University1.505.6%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.114.7%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.396.0%1st Place
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7.27Boston College1.616.9%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University1.535.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Rhode Island1.425.1%1st Place
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5.16Yale University2.1812.7%1st Place
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9.12Yale University1.253.5%1st Place
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7.4Boston College1.566.7%1st Place
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10.6Northeastern University0.772.1%1st Place
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14.92Northeastern University-0.830.5%1st Place
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9.13Bowdoin College1.084.2%1st Place
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9.38Boston University1.013.4%1st Place
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11.24University of Vermont0.541.8%1st Place
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12.83Maine Maritime Academy0.031.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lera Anders | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 9.0% |
Lachlain McGranahan | 28.6% | 23.2% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Connor Sheridan | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Lulu Russell | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
Michael Pinto | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Graham Ness | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Riley Read | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
Henry Lee | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Mateo Farina | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Christophe Chaumont | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
Nick Budington | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Peter Taboada | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 4.1% |
Julia Beck | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 53.9% |
Jonathan Chance | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
Nathan Selian | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
Luke Quine | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 6.2% |
Quinn Collins | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 20.0% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.