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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.54+9.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.50+4.80vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.56+3.35vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.18+0.23vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.77+4.41vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.53+1.36vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.59+3.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39-1.36vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.61-2.83vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.03+1.68vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.25-2.81vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.42-4.99vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.11-4.82vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.01-5.46vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University-0.83-0.91vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.08-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Harvard University3.0528.6%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont0.542.1%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University1.506.7%1st Place
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7.35Boston College1.566.2%1st Place
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5.23Yale University2.1811.9%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University0.772.8%1st Place
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8.36Roger Williams University1.534.8%1st Place
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11.8Tufts University0.591.7%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.395.7%1st Place
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7.17Boston College1.617.4%1st Place
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12.68Maine Maritime Academy0.031.6%1st Place
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9.19Yale University1.253.4%1st Place
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8.01University of Rhode Island1.425.7%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.113.5%1st Place
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9.54Boston University1.013.1%1st Place
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15.09Northeastern University-0.830.3%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College1.084.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 28.6% | 20.7% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 6.4% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Nick Budington | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Riley Read | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Lera Anders | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 8.5% |
| Michael Pinto | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Graham Ness | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Collins | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 16.6% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Henry Lee | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Lulu Russell | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Julia Beck | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 54.7% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.