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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.30vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+8.84vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+4.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.97vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.05+2.12vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+2.05vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12-0.28vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+2.19vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.64+0.19vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.80-1.64vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.65-1.77vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-1.34vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-6.27vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii3.68-5.37vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.36-4.87vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.93-4.06vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.49-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.84University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.03Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.05Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.72Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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10.19Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.36Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.23College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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11.66Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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12.94Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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10.32Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Grove | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| Raul Rios | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Hans Henken | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% |
| William Haeger | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Adam Pokras | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% |
| Gabriel Salk | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 21.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.