← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University0.01+1.07vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina-0.46+0.71vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University-0.15-0.82vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina-1.80+0.09vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.07North Carolina State University0.0136.2%1st Place
-
2.71University of North Carolina-0.4619.7%1st Place
-
2.18Clemson University-0.1534.4%1st Place
-
4.09University of South Carolina-1.805.0%1st Place
-
3.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.754.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyla Solway | 36.2% | 32.6% | 20.8% | 8.7% | 1.7% |
| May Proctor | 19.7% | 22.9% | 30.9% | 19.7% | 6.9% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 34.4% | 28.9% | 23.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Williams | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 28.0% | 49.2% |
| Carley Yount | 4.9% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 33.7% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.