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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+4.36vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+2.48vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+1.36vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.90+2.36vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50-0.05vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67-1.51vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.88vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.04-0.95vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.48-5.07vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.65-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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4.48Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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4.36Brown University3.790.2%1st Place
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6.36Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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4.95Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.49Harvard University3.670.2%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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4.93Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.89Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krysta Rohde | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 15.7% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 12.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.4% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 15.4% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 17.3% | 44.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 20.8% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.