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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+6.14vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.68+8.03vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.36+8.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+1.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+2.07vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+2.16vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.65+1.82vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18+2.94vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-1.49vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.05vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-0.33vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.96-0.38vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.49-3.75vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.64-5.05vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.12-8.00vs Predicted
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17Stanford University4.19-9.23vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.49-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.03University of Hawaii3.680.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.21Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.16Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.82College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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11.94Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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12.62Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.25Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.95Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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8.0Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.77Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.4University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Adam Pokras | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Graham Landy | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| William Haeger | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Michael Grove | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.5% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 20.6% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| Raul Rios | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.