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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+2.08vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+6.21vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.39+4.63vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.25+5.03vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.18+0.29vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.56+1.63vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.53+1.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.50-0.26vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.77+1.34vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.61-2.80vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.54+0.11vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.11-2.60vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.08-3.76vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.59-2.27vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.03-2.09vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University-0.83-1.00vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.01-7.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Harvard University3.0528.7%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island1.424.5%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.395.9%1st Place
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9.03Yale University1.254.6%1st Place
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5.29Yale University2.1811.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College1.566.3%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University1.535.9%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University1.506.2%1st Place
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10.34Northeastern University0.773.1%1st Place
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7.2Boston College1.616.5%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont0.542.0%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.113.5%1st Place
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9.24Bowdoin College1.083.8%1st Place
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11.73Tufts University0.592.2%1st Place
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12.91Maine Maritime Academy0.031.1%1st Place
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15.0Northeastern University-0.830.6%1st Place
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9.45Boston University1.014.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 28.7% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Michael Pinto | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Budington | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Riley Read | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Graham Ness | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Luke Quine | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 5.6% |
| Lulu Russell | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Lera Anders | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 9.7% |
| Quinn Collins | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 19.3% | 17.8% |
| Julia Beck | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 53.4% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.