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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.31vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+6.48vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.49+6.46vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.65+4.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.89vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.36+4.12vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.19-0.39vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.96+3.84vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.68+0.07vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.36-3.95vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49-1.02vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-1.25vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.12-6.35vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.64-5.04vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-4.65vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.05-8.64vs Predicted
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18Tufts University4.08-10.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University3.820.0%1st Place
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10.46Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.86College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.61Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.84Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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7.05Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.98University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.75Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.65Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.96Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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11.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 20.4% |
| Adam Pokras | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 13.3% |
| Raul Rios | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| William Haeger | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.