← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University0.05+1.83vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+1.55vs Predicted
-
3Hamilton College0.01-0.28vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-0.37-0.81vs Predicted
-
5University of Rochester-0.54-1.57vs Predicted
-
6University of Pittsburgh-2.08-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.83Syracuse University0.0524.1%1st Place
-
3.55Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6414.2%1st Place
-
2.72Hamilton College0.0126.6%1st Place
-
3.19Syracuse University-0.3716.7%1st Place
-
3.43University of Rochester-0.5415.2%1st Place
-
5.28University of Pittsburgh-2.083.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 24.1% | 21.8% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 2.9% |
| Kayla Maguire | 14.2% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 23.8% | 10.2% |
| Michael Stewart | 26.6% | 22.3% | 20.7% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 2.9% |
| Alec Wyers | 16.7% | 19.6% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 5.9% |
| Abby Eckert | 15.2% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 22.2% | 9.2% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.