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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.46vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.65+8.26vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+5.17vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+4.01vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.88vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+1.23vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.80+1.29vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.49+1.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.61vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.49-0.19vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-2.37vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.68-3.29vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.96-1.48vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.64-5.00vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-3.93vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.36-5.66vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University4.36-11.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.26College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.29Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.71Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.81University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.63Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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12.52Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.0Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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12.07Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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6.75Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Raul Rios | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| William Haeger | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Michael Grove | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Hans Henken | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Adam Pokras | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 19.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 15.6% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.