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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.05+1.52vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.37+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.54+0.25vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-0.56vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-0.88-1.34vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.08-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Syracuse University0.0528.9%1st Place
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2.98Syracuse University-0.3722.0%1st Place
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3.25University of Rochester-0.5417.5%1st Place
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3.44Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6414.6%1st Place
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3.66Hamilton College-0.8813.2%1st Place
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5.14University of Pittsburgh-2.083.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 28.9% | 26.4% | 20.9% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 1.7% |
| Alec Wyers | 22.0% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 19.9% | 14.2% | 4.3% |
| Abby Eckert | 17.5% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 8.2% |
| Kayla Maguire | 14.6% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 21.6% | 20.0% | 9.2% |
| Jack Grossi | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 24.2% | 13.4% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 15.0% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.