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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.35vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+9.30vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+5.68vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04+6.59vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01+1.53vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.52+2.65vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-0.55vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05+2.72vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.73-0.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.13vs Predicted
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12Stanford University4.05-4.21vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.73-4.35vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.69-5.37vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.24-4.12vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.19-4.83vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.51-7.15vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.55-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.0%1st Place
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12.3Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.68Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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7.53Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.45St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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11.72Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.79Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.63Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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9.85Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.31Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 16.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Mary Hall | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Michael Lee | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% |
| Alex Post | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.