← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University0.05+1.27vs Predicted
-
2Syracuse University-0.37+0.63vs Predicted
-
3University of Rochester-0.54-0.21vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-1.07vs Predicted
-
5University of Pittsburgh-2.08-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.27Syracuse University0.0533.7%1st Place
-
2.63Syracuse University-0.3724.6%1st Place
-
2.79University of Rochester-0.5420.0%1st Place
-
2.93Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6418.1%1st Place
-
4.39University of Pittsburgh-2.083.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chris Trentham | 33.7% | 27.5% | 21.1% | 14.0% | 3.8% |
Alec Wyers | 24.6% | 24.1% | 22.4% | 22.1% | 6.9% |
Abby Eckert | 20.0% | 23.1% | 23.7% | 24.5% | 8.8% |
Kayla Maguire | 18.1% | 19.4% | 24.9% | 26.8% | 10.8% |
Jason "Strongbones" Case | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.