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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+6.67vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+5.62vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+4.50vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+5.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.10vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+3.84vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.51+2.72vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.73+0.67vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05+2.76vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.04+2.04vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97+1.14vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.01-4.10vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.24-2.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.56vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.52-5.35vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-7.20vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.19-5.77vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.69-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.5Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.44Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.84Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.72Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.67College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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11.76Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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12.14Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.9Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.74University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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8.72Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| Alex Post | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 15.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 16.9% |
| Erika Reineke | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% |
| Mary Hall | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Michael Lee | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.