← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.73+7.87vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.08+5.31vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.25vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.88+3.99vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+2.32vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.61vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.49+2.63vs Predicted
-
8Boston College4.01-0.59vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University4.05-1.81vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.55-0.31vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College3.52-1.30vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.73-2.92vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.97-1.35vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University3.51-4.66vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin2.37-0.97vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University3.05-4.41vs Predicted
-
17University of Hawaii3.04-5.23vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida3.24-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.87Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
7.31Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
7.99Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
8.61U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
9.63Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.41Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
7.19Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
9.69Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
9.7Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
9.08College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.65Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
-
9.34Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
14.03University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
-
11.59Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
11.77University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
-
10.55University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Mary Hall | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Scott Houck | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% |
| Alex Post | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| John Kinzel | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 31.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.