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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.05+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh-2.08+2.35vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.37-0.34vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.54-1.18vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Syracuse University0.0534.5%1st Place
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4.35University of Pittsburgh-2.084.0%1st Place
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2.66Syracuse University-0.3722.7%1st Place
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2.82University of Rochester-0.5420.2%1st Place
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2.9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6418.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 34.5% | 26.6% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 4.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 67.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 22.7% | 24.9% | 23.5% | 21.6% | 7.2% |
| Abby Eckert | 20.2% | 22.2% | 23.5% | 23.7% | 10.4% |
| Kayla Maguire | 18.6% | 20.6% | 23.8% | 25.6% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.