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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+7.85vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+5.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+4.37vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+5.47vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.37+8.89vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.05+1.28vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+4.86vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.73+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.24+1.79vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.73-1.06vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.79vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-0.13vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.01-5.70vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.88-6.21vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.52-5.45vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.49-6.25vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii3.04-5.29vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.55-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.85U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.37Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.47Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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13.89University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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7.28Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.86Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.55College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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10.79University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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8.94Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.87Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.79Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.55Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.75Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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9.24Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Alex Post | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| John Kinzel | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 32.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Scott Houck | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.