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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+6.97vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.73+6.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.71vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+5.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.84vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.05+1.16vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+0.23vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-0.99vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23+1.67vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.92+2.22vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.52-1.40vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-0.25vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-5.23vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.24-3.72vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.73-6.58vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-4.22vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.49-7.30vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.37-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.71College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.33Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.16Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.23St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.01Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.67Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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12.22University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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9.6Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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11.75Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.77Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.28University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.78Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.7Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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13.84University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Davidson | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Mary Hall | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Alex Post | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% |
| Scott Houck | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| John Kinzel | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.