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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.30vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+5.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.70vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.92+7.80vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97+6.53vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51+3.48vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.69+1.67vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.23+2.52vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.92-1.37vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.37+4.14vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.73-2.33vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.73-3.13vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.24-2.58vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-7.02vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.22vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-6.58vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.05-5.49vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.49-8.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.28Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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11.53Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.48Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.67Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.52Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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14.14University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.87College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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10.42University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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6.98St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.42Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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11.51Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 7.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mary Hall | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% |
| Alex Post | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| William Bailey | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| John Kinzel | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 33.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 9.1% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 8.8% |
| Scott Houck | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.