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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+7.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.45vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+4.65vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+5.58vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+3.82vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+1.97vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.08vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.23+2.77vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.83-0.77vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.02vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.240.00vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.73-2.89vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.92-0.99vs Predicted
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14Stanford University4.05-6.86vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.97-3.09vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.79-7.48vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.19-5.80vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.74-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.45Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.58Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.82Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.77Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.0University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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9.11College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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7.14Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.91Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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12.68Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Post | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| William Bailey | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Mary Hall | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Ryan Davidson | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 15.7% |
| Kevin Laube | 8.4% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Michael Lee | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.