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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+3.53vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.04+6.07vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.90+3.45vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+0.91vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.79-0.75vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48-1.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.56vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.95vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65-2.11vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.71-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Harvard University3.670.2%1st Place
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8.07University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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6.45Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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4.91Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.25Brown University3.790.2%1st Place
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4.96Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.89Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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4.46Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 15.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Laura Cuccio | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 44.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 12.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 16.3% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Krysta Rohde | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.