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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.58+2.41vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.60+2.42vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.19-0.19vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.03+0.55vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.28-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.34-1.09vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.99-0.49vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.19-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Hampton University0.5821.3%1st Place
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4.42Christopher Newport University0.6012.6%1st Place
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3.73St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9016.4%1st Place
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3.81University of South Florida1.1916.4%1st Place
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5.55North Carolina State University-0.037.0%1st Place
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5.15Old Dominion University0.289.3%1st Place
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5.91University of Virginia-0.346.7%1st Place
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7.51Fordham University-0.992.5%1st Place
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5.51Washington College0.197.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Tyler Brown | 21.3% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Aston Atherton | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
Max Kleha | 16.4% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
Humberto Porrata | 16.4% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
Annika Milstien | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 10.8% |
Jonah Willoughby | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 6.6% |
Maxwell Penders | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 15.1% |
Brendan Sheeran | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 52.5% |
Joseph Bonacci | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.