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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+6.54vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.19+9.35vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+9.27vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+3.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+2.21vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.73+2.74vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92+0.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.01vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.83-0.78vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69-0.84vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.51-1.25vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.73-2.89vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.23-2.30vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.62vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.24-4.22vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii2.92-3.80vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.79-8.44vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.74-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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12.27Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.21Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.74College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.16Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.75Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.7Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.78University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.71Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Michael Lee | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 15.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| William Bailey | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Alex Post | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% |
| Mary Hall | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% |
| Chuck Eaton | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 16.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.