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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.05+1.06vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.37+0.38vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-2.08+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-1.91-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Syracuse University0.0538.0%1st Place
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2.38Syracuse University-0.3726.8%1st Place
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2.63Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6422.4%1st Place
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4.06University of Pittsburgh-2.085.7%1st Place
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3.87University of Rochester-1.917.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 38.0% | 30.2% | 20.7% | 9.6% | 1.6% |
| Alec Wyers | 26.8% | 29.7% | 26.4% | 13.3% | 3.9% |
| Kayla Maguire | 22.4% | 23.5% | 29.3% | 17.9% | 6.8% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 28.2% | 47.9% |
| Hugh Rider | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 31.0% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.