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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+7.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+6.17vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+4.44vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+5.60vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.73+3.73vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.19+5.15vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+4.97vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.83+0.25vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.05-1.69vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.23+1.17vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.52-1.16vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05+0.01vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.67vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.60vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.69-6.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.83vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii3.04-5.12vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.24-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.44Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.6Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.73College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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11.97Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.31Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.17Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.84Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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12.01Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.33St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.86Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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10.74University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| William Bailey | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Alex Post | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Michael Lee | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Kevin Laube | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 15.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Mary Hall | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 14.3% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.