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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+11.37vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+5.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.43vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+7.87vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+2.26vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+2.33vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.24+3.88vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05+3.59vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.51+0.72vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52-0.02vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.10vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-3.47vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.19-2.04vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.73-5.50vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.92-7.11vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.05-8.54vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.73-8.06vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.23-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.37University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.0%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.26Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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11.59Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.72Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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9.98Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.53Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.96University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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8.5College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.46Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.94Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 19.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 15.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% |
| Alex Post | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Mary Hall | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Michael Lee | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| William Bailey | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Kevin Laube | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.