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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+10.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.48vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+9.35vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.05+3.39vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.73+3.75vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+2.01vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.69+1.99vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.51+1.68vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.73-0.18vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.83-1.33vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.55-1.21vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.39vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.19-1.96vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.24-3.36vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.74-6.26vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-8.41vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.52-7.09vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii3.04-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.91Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.48Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.35Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.39Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.01Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.99Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.68Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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8.82College of Charleston3.730.0%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.79Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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10.64University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.91Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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11.64University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Drumm | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 16.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 16.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| William Bailey | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Alex Post | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Davidson | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% |
| Michael Lee | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
| Mary Hall | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.