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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+7.88vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+10.44vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.55+6.71vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+3.18vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+2.85vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+2.25vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+0.37vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.68+4.90vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05+2.57vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.51-0.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.24vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.52-2.01vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.05-5.82vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.29vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.73-6.40vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.19-4.91vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.69-8.07vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.97-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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12.44University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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9.71Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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7.18Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.85Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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12.9University of South Florida2.680.0%1st Place
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11.57Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.88Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.99Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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7.18Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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8.93Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.7Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Chuck Eaton | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 15.9% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| AJ Degen | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 23.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% |
| Alex Post | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Mary Hall | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Michael Lee | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.