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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.01+0.98vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07+1.40vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-1.30+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-2.16+0.79vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.98-1.77vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.55-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Syracuse University0.0144.1%1st Place
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3.4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.0714.8%1st Place
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3.71University of Rochester-1.3010.5%1st Place
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4.79University of Pittsburgh-2.165.3%1st Place
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3.23Penn State University-0.9815.4%1st Place
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3.9Syracuse University-1.559.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Gualdoni | 44.1% | 28.3% | 16.4% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Elliot Tindall | 14.8% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 9.9% |
| Jordan Lawrence | 10.5% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 20.9% | 15.2% |
| Aidan Reilly | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 20.2% | 47.5% |
| Robin McKee | 15.4% | 20.4% | 20.7% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 7.1% |
| Faith Otoole | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 22.4% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.