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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.52+8.81vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+7.94vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+5.18vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+3.15vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.19+5.91vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.55+3.48vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.05vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88+0.05vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.73-0.30vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-2.30vs Predicted
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11Stanford University4.05-3.48vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.050.00vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.68-0.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.56vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.73-6.34vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-3.95vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.92-4.64vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.83-9.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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9.94Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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8.18Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.15Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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9.48Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.05Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.7College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.52Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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12.0Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.89University of South Florida2.680.0%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.05Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Croteau | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Alex Post | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| William Bailey | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Lee | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Davidson | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Laube | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.1% |
| AJ Degen | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 21.4% |
| Mary Hall | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 14.5% |
| Chuck Eaton | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 16.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.