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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+6.62vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+7.92vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+4.46vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52+5.51vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.63vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+1.98vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.55+2.50vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05+3.52vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-1.61vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97+2.19vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.19+0.18vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.73-2.93vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.83-4.86vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.88-6.19vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.68-1.96vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-7.18vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.77vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii2.92-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.92Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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7.46Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.51Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.98Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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11.52Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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12.19Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.18University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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9.07College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.81Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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13.04University of South Florida2.680.0%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Alex Post | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Mary Hall | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| William Bailey | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 14.7% |
| Michael Lee | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% |
| Ryan Davidson | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| AJ Degen | 2.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 22.8% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Chuck Eaton | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.