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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.01+0.75vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-1.55+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-1.30+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-2.16-0.01vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Syracuse University0.0151.3%1st Place
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3.32Syracuse University-1.5511.5%1st Place
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3.06University of Rochester-1.3014.9%1st Place
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3.99University of Pittsburgh-2.165.9%1st Place
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2.87Rochester Institute of Technology-1.0716.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Gualdoni | 51.3% | 28.7% | 14.1% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Faith Otoole | 11.5% | 16.4% | 22.4% | 28.2% | 21.4% |
| Jordan Lawrence | 14.9% | 20.6% | 23.3% | 25.8% | 15.4% |
| Aidan Reilly | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 50.4% |
| Elliot Tindall | 16.4% | 24.4% | 26.3% | 21.0% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.