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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+8.79vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+9.78vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.73+5.80vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+3.09vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.51+4.51vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.68+6.97vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04+4.59vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.19+2.88vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.52+0.48vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.14vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.55-1.50vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97+0.15vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.92-5.31vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.88-6.35vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.47-5.32vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.96vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-9.53vs Predicted
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18Stanford University4.05-10.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.79Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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11.78Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.8College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.09Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.51Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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12.97University of South Florida2.680.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Wisconsin3.190.0%1st Place
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9.48Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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12.15Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.69Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.65Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.47St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.08Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% |
| Ryan Davidson | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Alex Post | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| AJ Degen | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 22.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% |
| Michael Lee | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Mary Hall | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 16.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.