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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+4.61vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.87+2.93vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.29+3.54vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-0.41vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.33+8.27vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.59+1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.94+2.55vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo-0.24+5.12vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.22+4.19vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.65-2.59vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy1.22-2.05vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-4.09vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-9.05vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.79-4.00vs Predicted
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16Queen's University-0.25-1.85vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-0.78-1.53vs Predicted
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18University of Toronto0.29-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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6.54Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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2.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.4%1st Place
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4.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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14.27Drexel University-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.51Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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14.19Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.41Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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8.91Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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4.95Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.0Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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14.15Queen's University-0.250.0%1st Place
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15.47Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.41University of Toronto0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 8.1% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 37.6% | 23.9% | 16.6% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 12.5% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Stricek | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 15.4% |
| Domenic Re | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Rochon | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| James Mullane | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 13.7% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 15.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Julian Fraize | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Howes | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Austin Stein | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 15.4% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 34.4% |
| Oguz Aras | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.