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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.01+0.77vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-1.55+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-1.30+0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-2.16-0.02vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Syracuse University0.0150.8%1st Place
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3.34Syracuse University-1.5511.6%1st Place
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3.1University of Rochester-1.3013.7%1st Place
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3.98University of Pittsburgh-2.166.3%1st Place
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2.81Rochester Institute of Technology-1.0717.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Gualdoni | 50.8% | 29.3% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Faith Otoole | 11.6% | 17.1% | 20.8% | 26.5% | 24.1% |
| Jordan Lawrence | 13.7% | 20.2% | 24.8% | 25.0% | 16.3% |
| Aidan Reilly | 6.3% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 47.7% |
| Elliot Tindall | 17.6% | 25.4% | 26.4% | 19.7% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.