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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.58+2.43vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.60+2.44vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.19-0.22vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.28+0.17vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.03-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.34-1.28vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.19-2.42vs Predicted
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9Fordham University-0.99-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Hampton University0.5822.3%1st Place
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4.44Christopher Newport University0.6012.2%1st Place
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3.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9016.6%1st Place
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3.78University of South Florida1.1917.8%1st Place
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5.17Old Dominion University0.289.2%1st Place
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5.56North Carolina State University-0.036.8%1st Place
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5.72University of Virginia-0.346.3%1st Place
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5.58Washington College0.196.6%1st Place
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7.55Fordham University-0.992.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Tyler Brown | 22.3% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
Aston Atherton | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
Max Kleha | 16.6% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
Humberto Porrata | 17.8% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
Jonah Willoughby | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 6.9% |
Annika Milstien | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 11.5% |
Maxwell Penders | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 12.0% |
Joseph Bonacci | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 11.5% |
Brendan Sheeran | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 16.9% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.