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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+3.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+2.56vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+1.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+1.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48-0.06vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-1.09vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65-0.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.93vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90-2.69vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.04-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Brown University3.790.2%1st Place
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4.56Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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4.55Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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4.94Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.91Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.95Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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5.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.31Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 16.0% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Krysta Rohde | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 19.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 12.5% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.