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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+2.80vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+2.57vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+1.00vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+4.02vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.59+2.58vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.94+3.58vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute2.29-1.63vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.87-4.24vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.65-1.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy1.22-1.22vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College0.79-0.70vs Predicted
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13University of Toronto0.29-0.50vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-0.24-0.13vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.33-0.68vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.78-0.54vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-0.22-2.90vs Predicted
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18Queen's University-0.25-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.4%1st Place
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4.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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5.57Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.0Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.02Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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8.58Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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6.37Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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8.52Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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11.3Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Toronto0.290.0%1st Place
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13.87University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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14.32Drexel University-0.330.0%1st Place
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15.46Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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14.1Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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13.98Queen's University-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 35.7% | 25.3% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 9.4% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 11.0% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Domenic Re | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Liam Boyle | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Oguz Aras | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 4.2% |
| James Mullane | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 13.4% |
| Robert Stricek | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 17.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 35.7% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 15.4% |
| Austin Stein | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.