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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.78+4.50vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.26+4.75vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+0.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.67+1.69vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.27+5.03vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82-0.73vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.49-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.13+3.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+2.06vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.59-4.00vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.79+1.85vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97-4.29vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-5.50vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.37vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.97vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.40-3.86vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Brown University1.789.7%1st Place
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6.75University of Rhode Island1.266.6%1st Place
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3.05University of Rhode Island2.7827.7%1st Place
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5.69Tufts University1.6710.4%1st Place
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10.03Connecticut College0.272.1%1st Place
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5.27Brown University1.8210.2%1st Place
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6.21Northwestern University1.498.5%1st Place
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11.25University of Vermont-0.131.1%1st Place
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11.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.092.1%1st Place
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6.0Northeastern University1.598.2%1st Place
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12.85Middlebury College-0.791.1%1st Place
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7.71Salve Regina University0.974.8%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.1%1st Place
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14.37Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.6%1st Place
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13.03University of New Hampshire-0.780.5%1st Place
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12.14Bates College-0.401.3%1st Place
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14.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.420.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hunter Zonnenberg | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Zachary Champney | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Kerem Erkmen | 27.7% | 23.1% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
John Eastman | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Charles Bresnahan | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Thomas Styron | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shea Smith | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
John Van Zanten | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
Adrian Winkelman | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Grace Augspurger | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.5% |
Olivia Lowthian | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Peter McGonagle | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Victor Lomba | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 21.8% | 28.7% |
Anne Berg | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 12.2% |
Cameron Frary | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
Kennard MacVaugh | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.