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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.78+4.45vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.26+4.77vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78-0.99vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.27+4.92vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82-0.67vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.67-1.32vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.49-1.95vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-1.45vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+1.19vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+3.28vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.79+1.20vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.01vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.40-2.02vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-3.72vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-8.21vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Brown University1.7810.7%1st Place
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6.77University of Rhode Island1.265.6%1st Place
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5.98Northeastern University1.599.6%1st Place
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3.01University of Rhode Island2.7827.7%1st Place
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9.92Connecticut College0.273.0%1st Place
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5.33Brown University1.8210.4%1st Place
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5.68Tufts University1.679.7%1st Place
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6.05Northwestern University1.497.6%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.2%1st Place
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11.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.091.0%1st Place
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14.28Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.2%1st Place
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13.2Middlebury College-0.790.4%1st Place
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13.01University of New Hampshire-0.780.7%1st Place
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11.98Bates College-0.401.5%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
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7.79Salve Regina University0.974.9%1st Place
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14.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.420.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 27.7% | 23.2% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Styron | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 19.8% | 30.4% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 12.6% |
| Anne Berg | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 10.6% |
| Cameron Frary | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 5.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.