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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.58+2.45vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+1.76vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.60+1.41vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.28+1.09vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.34-0.15vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.19-1.41vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.99-0.42vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.03-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Hampton University0.5820.4%1st Place
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3.76University of South Florida1.1917.8%1st Place
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4.41Christopher Newport University0.6013.1%1st Place
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5.09Old Dominion University0.2810.1%1st Place
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3.78St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9016.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Virginia-0.345.6%1st Place
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5.59Washington College0.197.3%1st Place
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7.58Fordham University-0.991.8%1st Place
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5.48North Carolina State University-0.037.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Brown | 20.4% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
Humberto Porrata | 17.8% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
Aston Atherton | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
Jonah Willoughby | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 6.6% |
Max Kleha | 16.0% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
Maxwell Penders | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 13.0% |
Joseph Bonacci | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 10.2% |
Brendan Sheeran | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 53.9% |
Annika Milstien | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.