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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+3.87vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+2.45vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+1.32vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+0.91vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.90+1.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-0.70vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67-2.51vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.040.00vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.94vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.41-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.45Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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4.32Brown University3.790.2%1st Place
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4.91Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.25Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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4.49Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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5.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Emilie Mademann | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 11.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 11.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 12.5% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 42.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 22.1% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.