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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.18+5.60vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.80+2.45vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+3.53vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.21+2.32vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+2.72vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.55-0.83vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.79+0.55vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.60+0.32vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.43-3.31vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.26-3.92vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.10-1.14vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.95+1.15vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.70-0.55vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+0.56vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.00-4.53vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.42-1.88vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6University of Rhode Island1.187.8%1st Place
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4.45University of Rhode Island1.8016.2%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.098.6%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University1.219.2%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University0.695.7%1st Place
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5.17Brown University1.5512.5%1st Place
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7.55Brown University0.795.9%1st Place
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8.32Connecticut College0.604.9%1st Place
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5.69Tufts University1.4311.1%1st Place
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6.08Northeastern University1.269.3%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont0.102.9%1st Place
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13.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.951.2%1st Place
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12.45Bates College-0.701.1%1st Place
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14.56Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.580.4%1st Place
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10.47University of New Hampshire-0.002.2%1st Place
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14.12Middlebury College-1.420.6%1st Place
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13.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Gary | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Horangic | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Hayes | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Faivre | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 11.2% |
| Colby Green | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 7.1% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 22.4% | 31.8% |
| James Sullivan | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| William Procter | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 21.1% | 24.4% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.