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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Webb Institute1.69+3.13vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.01+7.30vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.72+1.16vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.54-1.69vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.15+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.99vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo0.92-0.46vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.47-3.23vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College0.70-1.61vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04-0.69vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-0.08-1.27vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38-1.44vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.17-4.03vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.10-4.76vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-1.14-2.50vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.54-2.49vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-2.42-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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10.3Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
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5.16Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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3.31Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.65Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Pennsylvania2.220.2%1st Place
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7.54University of Buffalo0.920.1%1st Place
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5.77Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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8.39Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.56Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Rochester0.170.0%1st Place
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10.24Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
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13.5Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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14.51U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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15.93Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Dzinbal | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Larose | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 11.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 23.7% | 21.1% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 16.4% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mueller | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Bryan Krol | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Peter Teague | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Connor Kasper | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Boland | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Claire Michaud | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 23.4% | 11.1% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 31.2% | 20.7% |
| John Driscoll | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 17.2% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.