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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+4.12vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.22-0.12vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.72+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester0.17+3.80vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.70+1.41vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.15-1.16vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.01+1.23vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.47-4.02vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.92-3.58vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04-1.57vs Predicted
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13University of Toronto-0.08-2.33vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.10-3.79vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38-3.32vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-1.14-2.49vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.54-2.52vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-2.42-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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3.19Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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3.88University of Pennsylvania2.220.2%1st Place
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5.27Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Rochester0.170.0%1st Place
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8.41Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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6.84Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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10.23Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
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5.98Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Buffalo0.920.0%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.21Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.68Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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13.51Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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14.48U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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15.91Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Dzinbal | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 24.8% | 20.5% | 19.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 17.9% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kasper | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Ted Wingender | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Larose | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mueller | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Bryan Krol | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Boland | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Peter Teague | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 1.8% |
| Claire Michaud | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 22.8% | 11.3% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 31.4% | 20.3% |
| John Driscoll | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.