← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+5.69vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.55+3.27vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.69+4.87vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.26+2.01vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.80-0.38vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.18+0.53vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.43-1.56vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.21-1.89vs Predicted
-
9Bates College-0.70+3.21vs Predicted
-
10Brown University0.79-2.34vs Predicted
-
11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+3.63vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.58vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.10-3.06vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-1.42+0.04vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.95-1.90vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-1.85vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College0.60-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.097.5%1st Place
-
5.27Brown University1.5512.0%1st Place
-
7.87Tufts University0.695.5%1st Place
-
6.01Northeastern University1.2610.2%1st Place
-
4.62University of Rhode Island1.8015.4%1st Place
-
6.53University of Rhode Island1.188.0%1st Place
-
5.44Tufts University1.4312.0%1st Place
-
6.11Salve Regina University1.219.7%1st Place
-
12.21Bates College-0.701.1%1st Place
-
7.66Brown University0.796.0%1st Place
-
14.63Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.580.4%1st Place
-
10.42University of New Hampshire-0.002.3%1st Place
-
9.94University of Vermont0.103.4%1st Place
-
14.04Middlebury College-1.420.5%1st Place
-
13.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.950.8%1st Place
-
14.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.4%1st Place
-
8.32Connecticut College0.604.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Derry | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 5.5% |
| Helen Horangic | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 21.9% | 32.5% |
| James Sullivan | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Hayes | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| William Procter | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 24.8% |
| Daniel Faivre | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 11.5% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 23.6% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.